|  |  | 
          
            | OJHAS Vol. 8, Issue 3: (2009 
             
            Jul-Sep) |  
            |  |  
            |  |  
            | Study of Early Predictors of 
            Fatality 
in Mechanically Ventilated Neonates 
in NICU. |  
            |  |  
            | 
              
                | Sangeeta 
S Trivedi, Associate Professor, Dept. 
of Pediatrics, Rajesh K 
Chudasama, Assistant Professor, Dept. of Community Medicine,
 Anurakti 
Srivastava, Resident in Pediatrics, Dept. 
of Pediatrics,
 Government 
Medical College, Surat – 395001, Gujarat, India.
 |  |  |  
                |  |  |  
                | Dr. Rajesh 
K Chudasama,
          
            |  |  |  |  
            |  |  | Address For Correspondence | “Shreeji 
Krupa”,
 Meera Nagar-5, Raiya Road,
 Rajkot – 360 007, Gujarat, India.
 E-mail: 
            
dranakonda@yahoo.com
 |  |  |  
            |  |  
            |  |  
            | 
            Trivedi SS, Chudasama RK, Srivastava A. Study of Early Predictors of 
            Fatality in Mechanically Ventilated Neonates 
in NICU. Online J Health Allied Scs. 
            2009;8(3):9 |  
            |  |  
            |  |  
            | Submitted: Apr 29, 2009; Accepted: 
            Oct 18, 2009; Published: Nov 15, 2009 |  
            |  |  
            |  |  
            |  |  
            |  |  
            |  |  
            |  |  
            |  |  
            |  |  
          
          
            | Abstract: |  
            | Objective: 
To evaluate the risk factors associated with fatality in mechanically 
ventilated neonates using multiple regression analysis. Design & 
settings: Prospective study conducted at Neonatal ICU at New Civil 
Hospital, Surat – a tertiary care centre, from December, 2007 to May, 
2008 for 6 months. Methods: 
Fifty neonates in NICU consecutively put on mechanical ventilator during 
study period were enrolled in the study. The pressure limited time cycled 
ventilator was used. All admitted neonates were subjected to an arterial 
blood gas analysis along with a set of investigations to look for pulmonary 
maturity, infections, renal function, hyperbilirubinemia, intraventricular 
hemorrhage and congenital anomalies. Different investigation facilities 
were used as and when required during ventilation of neonates. Multiple 
logistic regression analysis was done to find out the predictors of 
fatality among these neonates. Results: 
Various factors suspected as predictors of fatality of mechanically 
ventilated neonates were assessed. Hypothermia, prolonged capillary 
refill time (CRT), initial requirement of oxygen fraction (FiO2) 
>0.6, alveolar to arterial PO2 difference (AaDO2) 
>250, alveolar to arterial PO2 ratio (a/A) <0.25, & oxygenation index (OI) >10 were found statistically 
highly significant predictors of mortality among mechanically ventilated 
neonates. Conclusion: 
Hypothermia and prolonged capillary refill time were independent 
predictors of fatality in neonatal mechanical ventilation. Risk of fatality 
can be identified in mechanically ventilated neonatesKey Words: Mechanical ventilation, Neonates, Hypothermia, Capillary refill time
 |  
            |  |  Neonatal mortality 
accounts for nearly two thirds of infant mortality and half of under 
5 mortality in India. It is alarmingly high in rural areas.1 
Also, many avoidable handicaps during childhood have their origin in 
the perinatal period. It is possible to increase neonatal survival and 
improve the quality of life only through prompt and adequate management 
of newborn which cannot be thought of without respiratory intensive 
care and assisted ventilation. Mechanical ventilation has become a must 
to enhance newborn survival. Babies with perinatal hypoxia and birth 
asphyxia as well as critically sick babies who develop life threatening 
apnea or cardiovascular collapse need mechanical ventilation. Neonates 
with progressive respiratory distress with impending respiratory failure 
and tiring respiratory muscles, can be supported and saved by assisted 
ventilation facilities.2 The complexity 
of respiratory therapy is compounded in neonatal critical care, where 
the unique needs of the neonate, who is immature, fragile, vulnerable 
and dependent, must be considered constantly. Thus, while the support 
of ventilation can no longer be viewed strictly as a divine intervention, 
it remains a formidable challenge, at least for us.2-4 The 
objective of the study was to evaluate the risk factors associated with 
fatality in mechanically ventilated neonates using multiple regression 
analysis. A prospective 
study was carried out in Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) of Pediatrics 
department, New Civil Hospital, Surat during December, 2007 to May 2008. 
The NICU caters to neonates born in the hospital as well as those referred 
from other hospitals or born at home and transported to the civil hospital 
directly by relatives, as New Civil Hospital, Surat serves as a tertiary 
care center for South Gujarat region.  There were 
334 NICU admissions during the study period of which those neonates 
consecutively put on ventilator were enrolled in the study. Exclusion 
criteria included (1) neonates having major, surgically uncorrectable 
lethal anomalies, (2) preterm < 28 weeks with severe birth asphyxia, 
and (3) birth weight < 750 gms were excluded. Total 50 neonates were 
put on ventilator during study period and were enrolled for the study 
and none was excluded. All neonates enrolled in the study were classified 
according to sex, birth weight, gestational age, place of birth. A brief 
not of antenatal and intranatal history was taken from mothers. A pretested 
proforma was used to record intricate details of each patient. Informed 
consent was taken from parents of neonates. The study was conducted 
in accordance with Helsinki Declaration and after taking approval from 
human research ethical committee of the Government Medical College, 
Surat.   All admitted 
neonates were subjected to an arterial blood gas analysis along with 
a set of investigations to look for pulmonary maturity, infections, 
renal function, hyperbilirubinemia, intraventricular hemorrhage and 
congenital anomalies. Neonates were kept on pressure limited time cycled 
ventilators (Drager Babylog 8000 Plus) in the NICU. Different investigation 
facilities were used as and when required during ventilation of neonates. (A) 
Criteria for initiating mechanical ventilation 5-7 (a) Clinical 
criteria:   1. Respiratory 
distress like tachypnea (>60 breathing/minute), nasal flaring, grunting, 
severe chest indrawing 2. Central 
cyanosis like cyanosis of oral mucosa/ SPO2 < 85% on O2 
through hood or with CPAP at FiO2 > 0.6 (b) Laboratory 
criteria:  1. Severe hypercapnia 
like 
  pCO2 
  > 60 mmHg in early RDS with pH < 7.2, pCO2 
  > 70 mmHg in resolving RDS with pH < 7.2 2. Severe hypoxemia 
like pO2 < 40-50 mmHg on O2 through hood or 
with CPAP at FiO2 > 0.6 3. Blood gas 
scoring system: Score > 3 
  
    
    
| Score | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |  | pO2 
  (mmHg) | > 60 | 50-60 | < 50 | <50 |  | pH | > 7.3 | 7.2-7.29 | 7.1-7.19 | < 7.1 |  | pCO2 
  (mmHg) | < 50 | 50-60 | 61-70 | > 70 |  (B) 
Criteria for initiating weaning from mechanical ventilation 
5-7 (i.e. when the patient can undergo extubation readiness test) (a) Subjective 
criteria: 
  underlying disease 
  process is improving as judged clinicallyadequate gas exchangeimproving respiratory 
  mechanicsabsence of any condition 
  that poses an undue burden on respiratory musclespatient capable 
  of sustaining spontaneous ventilation as ventilatory support is decreased (b) Objective 
criteria: 
  alertnessbreathing without 
  distressnormal heart rate 
  & blood pressure without pressure supportno sedatives, analgesics, 
  neuromuscular blockersnormal electrolytesendotracheal secretions 
  nil or < 1 ml 6 hourlyhemoglobin > 
  13 g/dlGases:  
  pO2 
  > 60 mmHg & SPO2 > 90% with FiO2 
  < 0.4 & PEEP < 5 
  pO2 / 
  FiO2 > 150pCO2 
  < 50 mmHgpH > 7.2
 (C) Criteria 
for successful extubation readiness test (a) Subjective 
criteria: 
  No change in mental 
  statusNo onset / worsening 
  of dyspnoeaNo diaphoresisNo signs of respiratory 
  distress (b) Objective 
criteria: 
  SPO2 
  > 90 %pH > 7.32pO2 > 
  50 mmHgpCO2 
  rise < 10 mmHgRespiratory rate 
  rise < 50 % (D) Monitoring 
of neonates on Ventilators and DOs All type of 
monitoring was done as per the requirement of neonates on ventilator 
including various investigations like blood sugar, serum electrolytes, 
hemoglobin, Arterial Blood Gas Analysis (ABGA) (1 hourly for 1st 
six hours, 2 hourly for next 6 hours and then 4 hourly or as needed), 
X ray chest after each tube change, endotracheal tube tip culture and 
sensitivity and tracheal aspirate culture and sensitivity at each tube 
change, blood urea & serum creatinine twice weekly. A detailed charting 
of every change in ventilatory parameters was done till the patient 
was on ventilator. All neonates were nebulized, suctioned and given 
chest physiotherapy. The complications anticipated were clinically suspected 
and confirmed by investigations. Adjunctive 
treatment was given simultaneously as per the requirements and nutritional 
support was maintained by nasogastric feeding. Feeding was omitted 12 
hours before planned extubation. Neonates not able to tolerate nasogastric 
feeds were given parenteral nutrition. The patients were given trials 
of Extubation Readiness Test and weaned according to above mentioned 
criteria. Patients were monitored for signs of clinical deterioration 
after extubation.  Data Analysis The data was 
entered in MS excel and analyzed using chi square test and multiple 
logistic regression analysis by using Epi Info software.  Total 50 neonates 
were enrolled during the study period. Table 1 shows characteristics 
of mechanically ventilated neonates. Birthweight < 2000 grams 
and gestational age < 34 weeks was in 20 neonates, majority 
(94%) neonates were kept on IPPV mode of mechanical ventilation. Table 
1 Characteristics of mechanically ventilated neonates 
Table 2 shows 
various parameters like indications, clinical features, complications, 
and immediate outcome of mechanically ventilated neonates. Pneumonia 
& septicemia, apnea, & meconium aspiration syndrome were the 
most common indications for mechanical ventilation.
  
| Characteristics | No. (n=50) | % |  | Sex |  | Male | 36 | 72 |  | Female | 14 | 28 |  | Birth weight 
  (in grams) |  | < 750 | 0 | 0 |  | 750-1000 | 5 | 10 |  | 1001-1500 | 6 | 12 |  | 1501-2000 | 9 | 18 |  | 2001-2500 | 15 | 30 |  | >2500 | 15 | 30 |  | Gestational 
  age (in weeks) |  | <28 | 0 | 0 |  | 28-30 | 2 | 4 |  | 30-32 | 6 | 12 |  | 32-34 | 11 | 22 |  | 34-36 | 4 | 8 |  | >36 | 27 | 54 |  | Place of 
  delivery |  | Home | 12 | 24 |  | Civil 
  Hospital | 26 | 52 |  | Other 
  Hospital | 12 | 24 |  | Mode of delivery |  | Vaginal | 42 | 84 |  | Cesarean | 8 | 16 |  | Mode of mechanical 
  ventilation |  | IPPV | 47 | 94 |  | CPAP | 1 | 2 |  | CPAP + IPPV | 2 | 4 |  
  Respiratory 
distress was most common clinical feature followed by recurrent apnea 
& severe birth asphyxia among mechanically ventilated neonates. 
Pulmonary hemorrhage was most common complication of mechanically ventilated 
neonates. Forty two percent neonates were successfully weaned, while 
46% neonates were expired during mechanical ventilation and 12% neonates 
went on discharged against medical advice.  Table 
2 Various parameters of neonates on mechanical ventilation 
  
| Parameters | No. (n=50) | % |  | Indications |  |  |  | Apnea | 7 | 14 |  | Severe 
    Birth Asphyxia | 6 | 12 |  | Respiratory Distress Syndrome | 6 | 12 |  | Meconium Aspiration Syndrome | 7 | 14 |  | Pneumonia & Septicemia | 15 | 30 |  | Aspiration Pneumonia | 4 | 8 |  | Pulmonary Hemorrhage | 4 | 8 |  | Others | 1 | 2 |  | Clinical 
  Features |  |  |  | Respiratory distress | 33 | 66 |  | Recurrent 
  Apnea | 8 | 16 |  | Severe 
  Birth Asphyxia | 4 | 8 |  | Convulsions | 3 | 6 |  | Not 
  taking feed | 2 | 4 |  | Vomiting | 2 | 4 |  | Frothy 
  discharge from mouth | 2 | 4 |  | Jaundice | 1 | 2 |  | Bleeding 
  manifestations | 1 | 2 |  | Complications |  |  |  | No 
  complication | 23 | 46 |  | Sepsis | 5 | 10 |  | Pulmonary 
  hemorrhage | 10 | 20 |  | Shock | 6 | 12 |  | Intraventricular hemorrhage | 2 | 4 |  | Ventilator associated pneumonia | 2 | 4 |  | Pneumothorax | 1 | 2 |  | Immediate 
  outcome |  |  |  | Successfully weaned without complications | 14 | 28 |  | Successfully weaned with complications | 6 | 12 |  | Successfully weaned but later expired | 1 | 2 |  | Discharge 
  against medical advice | 6 | 12 |  | Expired 
  on weaning | 23 | 46 |  Logistic regression 
analysis of those predictors of mortality found statistically significant 
on univariate analysis was shown in table 3. Various parameters were 
studied to assess their association with mortality among mechanically 
ventilated neonates. Hypothermia, prolonged capillary refill time (CRT), 
initial requirement of oxygen (FiO2) > 0.6, alveolar to 
arterial PO2 difference (AaDO2) > 250, alveolar 
to arterial PO2 ratio (a/A) < 0.25, & oxygenation 
index (OI) > 10 were found statistically highly significant predictors 
of mortality among mechanically ventilated neonates. 
  | Table 
3 Logistic regression analysis of early 
predictors of fatality among mechanically ventilated neonates |  | Parameter | Group 1 | Fatality No. (%) | Total No. | Group 2 | Fatality 
  No. (%) | Total No. | P value |  | Birthweight | < 2000 gms | 10 (50) | 20 | > 2000 gms | 13 (43.3) | 30 | >0.05 |  | Gestational 
  age | < 34 weeks | 10 (50) | 20 | > 34 weeks | 13 (43.3) | 30 | >0.05 |  | Mode of delivery | Vaginal | 17 (40) | 42 | Cesarean | 6 (75) | 8 | >0.05 |  | Temperature | Hypothermia | 18 (72) | 25 | Normal | 4 (16) | 23 | <0.001 |  | Capillary 
  refill time | Prolonged | 21 (65.6) | 32 | Normal | 2 (11.1) | 18 | <0.001 |  | Heart rate | Tachycardia | 19 (45.2) | 42 | Bradycardia/ No activity | 4 (80) | 5 | >0.05 |  | Respiratory 
  rate | Tachypnea | 17 (47.2) | 36 | Irregular/absent respiration | 4 (80) | 5 | >0.05 |  | Initial FiO2 | < 0.6 | 13 (32.5) | 40 | > 0.6 | 10 (100) | 10 | <0.001 |  | AaDO2 | < 250 | 2 (7.4) | 27 | > 250 | 21 (91.3) | 23 | <0.001 |  | a/A | < 0.25 | 20 (91) | 22 | > 0.25 | 3 (10.7) | 28 | <0.001 |  | O.I. | < 10 | 16 (37.2) | 43 | > 10 | 7 (100) | 7 | <0.01 |  | V.I. | < 30 | 16 (41) | 39 | > 30 | 7 (63.6) | 11 | >0.05 |  There were 
reports on the risk factors associated with fatality in mechanically 
ventilated neonates using multiple regression analysis to establish 
risk factors for fatality with adjustment for potential confounders. 
Mechanically ventilated neonates have a high fatality 8-10. 
The fatality is even higher in the small number of tertiary referral 
neonatal units receiving out born neonates 11. In present 
study, more than half of the neonates were destabilized at admission 
with reference to cardiac activity, temperature, respiration, tissue 
perfusion & metabolically. Similar findings were reported by other 
authors 8-11. The causes 
of respiratory insufficiency requiring mechanical ventilation included 
pneumonia (38%), apnea (14%), meconium aspiration syndrome (14%), hyaline 
membrane disease (12%), central respiratory depression and pulmonary 
hemorrhage. In contrast, several studies have reported hyaline membrane 
disease 8, 9, 12 or apnea 11 as most common indications 
for mechanical ventilation. Complications 
of mechanical ventilation among neonates included pulmonary hemorrhage 
(20%), sepsis (12%), circulatory disturbances (12%), intraventricular 
hemorrhage (4%), ventilator associated pneumonia (4%) & pulmonary 
air leak (2%). Sepsis and pneumonia were the most common complications 
encountered which was closely followed by pulmonary air leaks in other 
studies 13-15. Out of 44 mechanically ventilated neonates, 
52.3% died and 47.7% survived. Nangia S et al 8 reported 
46.5% overall survival, Singh M et al 10 had reported 55.5% 
overall survival, Maiya PP et al 14 had 48.8% overall survival 
among mechanically ventilated neonates. The present 
study highlights the hypothermia, prolonged CRT, AaDO2 > 
250, a/A < 0.25, oxygenation index > 10, and initial FiO2 
> 0.6 as significant independent predictors of fatality in mechanically 
ventilated neonates. FiO2 requirement reflects the severity 
of respiratory failure. All oxygen indices like OI, AaDO2, 
and a/A depend on it 16. Birthweight < 2000 gms 
and gestational age < 34 weeks reported as independent predictors 
of mortality by Mathur NB et al 11 in their study. In contrast, 
present study showed no such association with fatality of neonates.  Hypothermia 
was found as a main predictor of fatality among mechanically ventilated 
neonates in present study. Essential New Born Care (ENBC) includes care 
of body temperature of newborn to prevent hypothermia as it is one of 
the main risk factor for early neonatal mortality. Hypothermia can be 
prevented easily by providing Kangaroo Mother Care (KMC), a technique 
with minimum care and precautions and can be given by any adult person. 
Before and during referral of neonates to hospital for mechanical ventilation, 
care was not taken for prevention of hypothermia. So, present study 
highlights that fatality among mechanically ventilated neonates may 
decline by preventing hypothermia.  There were 
some limitations in present study like; neonatal pulmonary function 
testing was not possible so the dynamics of respiration was not judged, 
ventilator used does not have facilities like internal nebulization, 
pre & post suction oxygenation & inspiratory hold, and all risk 
factors were not taken in the regression model because of sample size. Risk of fatality 
can be identified in mechanically ventilated neonates. Measures put 
forward for favorable outcome of mechanically ventilated neonates includes, 
(1) early institution of mechanical ventilation before complications 
and organ damage set in, (2) thermoregulation – as 72% of the hypothermic 
neonates died with hypothermia in present study being a significant 
predictor of mortality, (3) acid base balance – 84% neonates were 
metabolically unstable, increasing the mortality risk, (4) circulation 
– as mortality in the neonates with prolonged CRT was 65.5%, being 
statistically significant predictor of mortality, & (5) establishment 
of proper network of neonatal services, preventing hypothermia by KMC 
before and during referral & transport of neonates. 
  None
          
            |  |  |  |  
            |  |  |  |  
            |  |  | Source of Funding and Competing Interests |  
    Park K. Textbook 
  of Preventive & Social Medicine. 19th edition. Jabalpur: 
  M/s Banarasidas Bhanot Publishers; 2007. p.453-454.Singh M. Care of 
  Newborn. 6th Edition. Sagar Publications. 2004.Jain S, Gangrade 
  A, Harshey M. Pediatric mechanical ventilation in India: need, indications, 
  cost and problems. Indian Pediatr. 1994;31:725-726.Narang A, Kiran 
  PS, Kumar P. Cost of neonatal intensive care in a tertiary care center. 
  Indian Pediatr. 2005;42:989-997. Goldsmith JP, Karotkin 
  EH. Assisted ventilation of the Neonate. 4th edition. Saunders 
  2003.Rogers MC. Textbook 
  of pediatric intensive care. Vol 1. Williams & Wilkins 1987.Behrman RE, Kliegman 
  RM, Jenson HB. Nelson Textbook of pediatrics. 17th edition. 
  Saunders 2004.Nangia S, Saili 
  A, Dutta AK, et al. Neonatal mechanical ventilation. Experience at a 
  level II care centre. Indian J Pediatr 1998;65:291-296.Mathur NC, Kumar 
  S, Prasanna AL, et al. Intermittent positive pressure ventilation in 
  a neonatal intensive care unit: Hyderabad experience. Indian Pediatr 1998;35:349-353.Singh M, Deorari 
  AK, Paul VK, et al. Three year experience with neonatal ventilation 
  from a tertiary care hospital in Delhi. Indian Pediatr 1993;30:783-789.Mathur NB, Garg 
  P, Mishra TK. Predictors of fatality in neonates requiring mechanical 
  ventilation. Indian Pediatr 2005;42:645-651.Malhotra AK, Nagpal 
  R, Gupta RK, et al. Respiratory distress in newborn: treated with ventilation 
  in a level II nursery. Indian Pediatr 1995;32:207-212.Singh M, Deorari 
  AK, Aggrawal R, et al. Assisted ventilation for hyaline membrane disease. 
  Indian Pediatr 1995;32:1267-1274.Maiya PP, Vishwanath 
  D, Hegde S, et al. Mechanical ventilation of newborns: experience from 
  a level II NICU. Indian Pediatr 1995;32:1275-1280.Karthikeyan G, 
  Hossain MM. Conventional ventilation in neonates: experience from Saudi 
  Arabia. Indian J Pediatr 2002;69:15-18.Harris TR, Wood 
  BR. Physiologic principles. In: assisted ventilation of the neonate. 
  Eds Goldsmith SP, Karotkin EH. 3rd edn. Philadelphia, WB 
  Sounders, 1996; p 21-68. |